History, predictions & alerts
Is there a Visa Bulletin prediction calculator for EB-2 India (and does it work)?
Updated · Not legal advice
Prediction calculators take past Visa Bulletin movement for a category and country and project it forward to estimate when a priority date might become current. They can give a rough range, but they cannot know future demand, spillover or policy changes, so any single date they show is an estimate, not a forecast you can plan on.
| Method | How it works | Weakness |
|---|---|---|
| Average movement | Days moved per year, projected forward | Hides jumps, stalls and retrogressions |
| Backlog-based | Pending demand ahead of you divided by numbers per year | Backlog data is partial and dated |
| Expert opinion | Attorneys read notes and data | Varies by source |
| Official notes | State Department's own comments | Rare and short-term |
How to sanity-check any prediction
- Ask what history it uses and how far back.
- Check whether it treats retrogressions and the October reset.
- Compare with the bulletin notes for your category.
- Prefer a range over a single date.
What we do
Pro shows your category's movement history and a range based on it, with the method stated, and alerts you to the actual move. We never present an estimate as an official date.
Quick answers
- Is there an official EB-2 India predictor?
- No. The State Department does not publish a calculator or long-range forecast.
- How accurate are calculators?
- Only as good as the assumption that the future looks like the past, which often fails.
- What should I use instead?
- History for context, the bulletin notes for official signals, and an alert for the actual move.
What to do next: get your Visa Bulletin alert
Get the history-based range for your category and an alert when it really moves: Pro, $5/month.
Free: 1 category, checked daily, email. Pro $5/month: checks every 4 hours, SMS + push, movement history and estimates. Compare plans.
Sources
- U.S. Department of State: Visa Bulletin (current, upcoming and archive)
- U.S. Department of State: Visa Statistics (annual reports, waiting list)
Checked: November 12, 2026